Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.034993 0.038093 0.041207 0.044565 0.048075 0.051633 0.055505
2025-12-28 0.029356 0.033893 0.038600 0.043823 0.049435 0.055263 0.061753
2026-01-04 0.025638 0.031241 0.037221 0.044025 0.051502 0.059421 0.068397
2026-01-11 0.022973 0.029416 0.036474 0.044680 0.053868 0.063758 0.075128
2026-01-18 0.020702 0.027792 0.035746 0.045179 0.055918 0.067637 0.081273
2026-01-25 0.017586 0.024924 0.033381 0.043627 0.055497 0.068638 0.084115
2026-02-01 0.015494 0.023090 0.032063 0.043139 0.056166 0.070761 0.088122
2026-02-08 0.013840 0.021652 0.031100 0.042965 0.057109 0.073126 0.092345
2026-02-15 0.013065 0.021253 0.031338 0.044172 0.059628 0.077269 0.098571
2026-02-22 0.012246 0.020725 0.031364 0.045078 0.061758 0.080938 0.104238
2026-03-01 0.011323 0.019988 0.031072 0.045550 0.063334 0.083935 0.109111
2026-03-08 0.010385 0.019161 0.030610 0.045767 0.064567 0.086504 0.113467
2026-03-15 0.009834 0.018858 0.030833 0.046866 0.066913 0.090445 0.119502
2026-03-22 0.008605 0.017499 0.029605 0.046081 0.066922 0.091592 0.122253
2026-03-29 0.007844 0.016766 0.029171 0.046279 0.068119 0.094143 0.126651
2026-04-05 0.007310 0.016335 0.029119 0.046947 0.069885 0.097368 0.131842
2026-04-12 0.006770 0.015852 0.028963 0.047459 0.071440 0.100329 0.136716
2026-04-19 0.005639 0.014317 0.027257 0.045860 0.070281 0.099957 0.137580
2026-04-26 0.004932 0.013413 0.026403 0.045357 0.070484 0.101223 0.140386
2026-05-03 0.004376 0.012715 0.025808 0.045177 0.071080 0.102954 0.143741
2026-05-10 0.004219 0.012719 0.026253 0.046419 0.073515 0.106961 0.149858
2026-05-17 0.003998 0.012587 0.026478 0.047352 0.075544 0.110466 0.155369
2026-05-24 0.003690 0.012261 0.026392 0.047838 0.076982 0.113231 0.159979